AMARILLO, Texas – A dangerously dry and windy weather pattern is expected to set up across parts of the southern Plains, leading to an enhanced risk of dangerous wildfires through the workweek.
NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center has highlighted areas of Texas and Oklahoma for being at extreme risk – a level that is rarely issued by the agency – as forecasters warned of conditions suitable for a wildfire outbreak on Wednesday.
“This is the first time that this extreme or a Level 3 out of 3 risk has been issued so far this year,” said FOX Weather Meteorologist Kendall Smith. “That’s why it’s important and why you have to make note of it. Fire Weather Warnings are also in effect. We have got a lot of them from the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles all the way down into West Texas and a good portion of even eastern New Mexico.”
Wednesday’s critical threat area stretches from Kansas into northern Mexico, with communities such as Amarillo, Texas, and Woodward, Oklahoma, in the extreme threat zone.
According to the FOX Forecast Center, a storm system exiting the Rockies into the Plains will help enhance the wildfire risks with wind gusts that are expected to reach well over 30 mph and humidity values that could plunge below 10%.
The combination of conducive weather conditions, an intensifying drought and dead vegetation has led to the increased fire risk.
The Texas A&M Forest Service said it’s a unique set of circumstances that likely won’t change anytime soon.
Beyond Wednesday, forecast models show a flow out of the south and west will continue throughout the week, but higher humidity values could reduce how fast wildfires grow.
There remains no significant precipitation in the extended forecast, with many of the alerted areas seeing less than a quarter-inch of precipitation over the next seven days.
“The latest fuel guidance indicates fuels have dried even further since the wildfire outbreak at the end of February,” NOAA forecasters stated in a recent update.
US WILDFIRE ACTIVITY OFF TO SLOWEST START IN MEMORY
A similar stretch of weather in February led to Texas’ largest wildfire on record, as well as at least a dozen other significant fires that burned from Kansas to the Lone Star State.
At last check, the Smokehouse Creek Fire was 89% contained and has burned more than 1,058,000 acres in two states.
The blaze is believed to have been started by improperly working utility equipment, a similar cause that has been attributed to several deadly blazes in California and Hawaii.
In the Golden State, PG&E began the Public Safety Power Shutoff program in 2018 in order to cut down on the risks of electrical equipment starting new wildfires.
So far, neither the State of Texas nor Xcel Energy, the company tied to the Smokehouse Creek Fire, have said they plan to de-energize lines ahead of the latest fire threat.